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Credit Suisse Says "Watch Out" For Japan's Q1 GDP

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Mark Melin
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With Japan's Gross Domestic Product data set to come out May 20, a Credit Suisse report says “watch out.”

Japan CS 5 14 exports imports

Credit Suisse: Watch for 1.5 percent real GDP number in Japan, keep an eye on oil

Credit Suisse’s estimate for first quarter real GDP growth rate is 1.5 percent, research analysts Hiromichi Shirakawa and Takashi Shiono estimate in a May 14 economic research piece.

As the Trans Pacific Partnership trade negotiations press forward, the report credited an improvement in the trade balance on a substantial decrease in Japanese imports, which were reduced by nearly 10.2 trillion yen annualized, or close to 12% during the quarter. This shrinkage of...

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.