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Barclays: Commodity Supercycle Decline Might Be Finding A Bottom

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Mark Melin
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Many commodities are reaching their cost floor and should be in a bottoming process, a Barclays report notes, as commodities after the supercycle appear to be approaching support levels not seen in 14 years.

Barclays 10 20 usd commod correlation

Relative decline in commodities shows some off 80 percent from supercycle high while other commodities are down only 40 percent

The negative correlation between the U.S. dollar, the world reserve currency of choice, and commodities continues, as recently a rising U.S. dollar has been accompanied by falling commodity prices, Kevin Norrish, Barclays commodities research analyst, observed in the report. Some commodities are stretched further from their mean than others as the Bloomberg...

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.